The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 - The New York Times


Published by NYTIMES.COM

Summary generated on August 13, 2020


    Comparing recent totals of deaths from all causes can provide a more complete picture of the pandemic's impact than tracking only deaths of people with confirmed diagnoses.

    Total death numbers are estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which are based on death certificates counted by the C.D.C. and adjusted to account for typical lags in the reporting of deaths.

    Only weeks in which the C.D.C. estimates the data to be at least 90 percent complete or estimated deaths were above expected death numbers are included.

    Because states vary somewhat in their speed in reporting deaths to the federal government, state charts may have data for different time periods.

    Expected deaths were calculated with a simple model based on the weekly number of all-cause deaths from 2017 to 2019 released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, adjusted to account for trends, like population changes, over time.